Macaulay Duration:
- This tells about the weighted average maturity, or an approx time to maturity of current portfolio.
- Higher the duration, higher the risk from increase in interest rates.
- Ideally, your investment horizon should be similar to the fund duration.
Yield to Maturity:
- This is the expected yield for the fund duration, provided no defaults and interest rate changes.
- Eg: Fund with 6% YTM and duration of 2 years can be expected to yield 6% annual return for 2 years. This is an approx simplified estimate.
- Higher yield is better but comes with additional risk of defaults.
Portfolio Quality:
- Check for ratings of different investments in the portfolio.
- Higher AAA papers represent high paper quality and lower yield.
- Avoid funds with significant proportion of lower quality papers.
Concentration:
- Pick funds with investments in a vast quantity of papers.
- Concentration risk arises from significant % of fund in a few papers.
- It is even more enhanced in case papers are of low quality or fund size is small.
Fund Size:
- When it comes to debt investing, bigger is better. All things equal, pick funds with bigger size.
- Smaller funds will be more concentrated and hence risky Defaults and redemptions can be extremely risky.
- Defaults and redemptions can be extremely risky in small fund sizes
Summary:
- Rule-of-thumb calculation for debt funds (given no interest rate changes and defaults):
Return = YTM - Total Expense Ratio (TER)
- Higher YTM implies higher credit risk Higher duration implies higher interest rate risk.
- Avoid funds with high concentration or low fund size.
DISCLAIMER: This blog is solely for educational purposes and not to offer any investment advice. Please do your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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